The 2022 Super Bowl is just hours away, and if you haven’t locked in your bets and chosen your player props, it’s about time you did. With how wild and unpredictable the playoffs have been, why shouldn’t we expect madness Sunday on the NFL’s biggest stage? This is the first Super Bowl in NFL history that does not feature any of the top three seeds in either conference, and it’s the second matchup in Super Bowl history that features two former No. 1 overall quarterback picks facing off. It’s Sean McVay vs. his former quarterbacks coach Zac Taylor, Joe Burrow vs. Matthew Stafford, Ja’Marr Chase vs. Jalen Ramsey. Who you got?
If you’re looking for advice on where to place your money for Super Bowl Sunday, you’ve come to the right place. Below, we will examine the different betting angles for this matchup. We will provide picks from both CBS Sports and SportsLine experts on this final NFL showdown, as well as a few player props that we view as enticing.
All NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook.
How to watch
Date: Sunday, Feb. 13 | Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
Location: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, CA)
TV: NBC | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)
Odds: Rams -4, O/U 48.5
Rams vs. Bengals spread picks
“The key to the game will be how the Bengals handle the Rams defensive front. Can they block Aaron Donald and Von Miller and Leonard Floyd? The Bengals have a bad offensive line, especially the right side. That will be make it a premium for Joe Burrow to speed up his clock and get the ball out. Look for a lot of quick throws, something Burrow did in the second half against the Chiefs in the AFC Championship game.
“The Bengals and Burrow operate well in the quick game out of empty sets, so look for a lot of that. Against the Chiefs, they didn’t do enough of it on early downs. My gut is they will in this one, which will lead to big plays in the passing game. They will dictate tempo.
“As for the Rams, they will get theirs as well. The Bengals defense played well against Patrick Mahomes, dropping eight and changing up their looks. I think Cincinnati will do much of the same to Matt Stafford to try and slow him down. The difference is the Rams will run the ball against that look. They will use Cam Akers and Sony Michel to patiently move the ball down the field if that’s what the Bengals decide to do. Then Stafford will hit his shots down the field off play-action.
“I see a lot of points in this one. Both teams can score. Both quarterbacks are capable of putting their teams on their right arms and letting it rip. In the end, I am going to go with Burrow to outplay Stafford to get his first ring in what will truly be an amazing ending to their season. Burrow will drive the Bengals to a game-winning field goal by Evan McPherson in the closing seconds as the theme of the playoffs continues.”
— CBS Sports Senior NFL Columnist Pete Prisco is taking the underdog to win straight up in Super Bowl LVI. To read his full explanation, click here.
Before you make any Rams vs. Bengals picks, you need to see which side R.J. White is backing. CBS Sports’ Fantasy and gambling editor, White ended the 2020 season on an 80-59 run on all NFL picks, returning more than $1,400 during that span. It’s no surprise, as White has cashed huge twice in the world’s most prestigious football handicapping competition, the Las Vegas SuperContest. In addition, White has gone an impressive 40-28-2 on his last 70 picks involving Cincinnati, returning more than $900 for $100 bettors.
We can tell you White is leaning Under when it comes to the total, but to check out his against the spread pick, head on over to SportsLine.
“The Bengals are the underdog in this game, which might actually be a good thing, because underdogs are on a roll in the Super Bowl. Since 2010, underdogs of three or more points are 5-1 in the Super Bowl with the only loss coming from a Falcons team that BLEW A 28-3 LEAD (I am required by law to mention that blown lead in every Super Bowl pick I make for the rest of time).
“I think this game ends in one of two ways: Either the Bengals win a close one in the fourth quarter or this turns into a replay of last year’s Super Bowl where one team’s quarterback gets so dominated by the other team’s defense that it turns into a blowout.
“I’m going with option A.
“As the son of a former Bengals kicker, I feel like the only way for me to go with this pick is to predict that it ends on a field goal by the current Bengals kicker, so that’s what I’m going to do.”
— Bengals expert John Breech wrote a great column on this year’s Super Bowl and explained his pick to win it all. Check it out, here.
“I’ve picked the Rams in every round, but have struck out on the Bengals. My lean is to the Rams again, BUT, I’m not betting on them to cover the spread. I’m taking the points with the Bengals +3.5. Out of six games since the divisional round, five have been decided by exactly three points. The only game that was not was the Buffalo Bills vs. Chiefs matchup — and that went to overtime! Why should we not expect a close game in the Super Bowl? I wouldn’t be the least bit shocked if the Bengals win, but I’m more comfortable taking the points. Give me a cover, Cinderella.”
— CBS Sports’ Jordan Dajani is taking the points with the Bengals. To read his full explanation, click here.
“With the combination of Aaron Donald and Von Miller rushing the passer and the likes of Jalen Ramsey in the secondary making Burrow hold the ball longer and go through his progression, I have my doubts that the Cincinnati O-line will be able to fend them off for four quarters.
“While this isn’t a traditional home game for the Rams (actually considered the visiting team), the fact that this is being played at SoFi Stadium should play to their advantage. They are 7-3 straight up at home this year (including playoffs) and while they are just .500 ATS at SoFi Stadium, they have an average margin of victory of 7.3 points. That would get us to comfortably cover the spread in this game.”
— CBS Sports’ Tyler Sullivan is laying the points with the Rams. To read his full explanation, click here.
Rams vs. Bengals picks on the total
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, and is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters the Super Bowl on a 137-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. To see its against the spread pick and thoughts on the Total, head on over to SportsLine.
“There’s too much skill on these offenses to think this game will stay Under: Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase and Joe Mixon on Cincinnati; Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp and Odell Beckham Jr. on Los Angeles. These teams both averaged 27.1 points a game in the regular season, which tied for seventh in the league. Also, unless you’re expecting a game in the teens, there are very few score combinations that stay Under. We win with 23-23 or 24-24 in regulation. We also win with 26-23 or 28-21. I think this is pretty simple. Take the Over.”
— Hammerin’ Hank Goldberg likes the Over on Sunday, but that’s not all he’s excited about in this matchup. For his against the spread pick and a player prop he likes, head on over to SportsLine.
Player props
Joe Burrow total passing yards: Under 274.5 (-115). The SportsLine Projection Model has this as one of their top five player props this week. To see the others, head on over to SportsLine.
Samaje Perine total receptions: Over 1.5 (-110). The Over was actually plus money earlier this week! Perine has been active in the receiving game as of late and caught three of four targets against the Chiefs. I think he gets exactly two receptions. — CBS Sports’ Jordan Dajani
Matthew Stafford Over 0.5 interceptions (-160): “Matthew Stafford is going to throw an interception. It’s funny — there’s been this shift in the narrative around Stafford. There’s talk about how winning this game might get him into the Hall of Fame, and while I’m not interested in a debate about that, I do want to point out that Stafford is the same player he’s always been. The only thing that’s changed is he’s on a much better team than any he’s ever been on.
“In the end, though, he’s still the same QB with a fantastic arm capable of making throws few others can make. He’s also the same guy that throws a few passes every game that leave you wondering what the hell was running through his mind when he decided, ‘oh yeah, this is the one.’
“He takes a lot of unnecessary chances, and while Stafford’s 6.8% TD rate this season is a career-high (the previous was 6.5% in 2019), his interception rate of 2.8% is the second-highest of his career outside of his rookie season. It turns out having better players around him has only made Stafford more willing to take chances he shouldn’t. That’s why he’s thrown at least one interception in 12 of 21 games this season and in five of the Rams’ last seven.
“He’s going to take them against Cincinnati too.” — CBS Sports’ Tom Fornelli
Other Super Bowl props
Will there be a second-half lead change: Yes (+130): In Championship Weekend, both the Bengals and Rams came back from double-digit deficits to win their respective games. That’s just the second time that has happened on Championship Sunday in both games since 1970. There was no second-half lead change in Super Bowl LV when the Buccaneers smacked the Chiefs, but there certainly was one in Super Bowl LIV, when the Chiefs came back from down 10 in the fourth quarter against the 49ers. I’m not predicting a miraculous comeback next Sunday, but in a close game, we should get a lead change in the second half.
Will any quarter be scoreless? Yes (+300): “This has happened in four of the last seven Super Bowls. That includes fitness Chiefs-Bucs last year, as well as the last time Sean McVay was coaching in the big game, when the Rams put up three total points against the Pats three years ago. With McVay likely to be conservative and the Rams boasting a strong defense, a scoreless quarter should be in play here, and we’re getting 3-1 odds.” — CBS Sports’ Brett Anderson.
To check out other fun SportsLine expert props, click here.
Super Bowl MVP: SportsLine expert R.J. White has studied Super Bowl LVI and the MVP odds from every possible angle to give his MVP pick. We can tell you he’s not picking Cooper Kupp at +700 even though he’s projected to rack up more than 100 yards in the Super Bowl. To see his MVP pick and his best longshot play, head on over to SportsLine.
Cross-sport props: These are some of my favorite props. Increased attention is paid every season to the prop market surrounding the biggest game in sports, with hundreds of options on offer from each major sportsbook, giving bettors countless ways to get action on not just the Super Bowl, but also other sporting events happening this weekend on the same wager. These cross-sport props allow for interesting matchups pitting player props in different sports against each other (for example, Joe Burrow’s pass attempts vs. Karl-Anthony Towns’ points plus rebounds), or potentially against other aspects of the Super Bowl (Rams’ points scored vs. Trae Young’s points scored). To see what R.J. White has to say about these special props, head over to SportsLine.
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